Tuesday, October 19, 2010


... is occurring in education today. I have thought about this for a long time and had a good conversation yesterday with a friend on the subject.  Now here are the facts:  Today there are more people in the United States over the age of 50 than under the age of 17.  Our birth rate is now very low.  The dramatic increases in the numbers of school age children have dropped dramatically.  Yes, the numbers continue to increase in some locations due to people moving into some areas such as the southwest but generally speaking our population has ceased to increase.  If it were not for our undocumented foreign worker population of approximately 12,000,000 our total population would be decreasing dramatically.  Now for the dilemma.  With no new students in elementary, secondary and higher education, how are the powers that be planning for these decreases?  What will they do with the staff, the teachers, the support personnel?  What will they do with the empty buildings?  I am not kidding.  They need to plan to go out of business or come up with a new business model for the systems that are in place today.  In many large cities they have already begun to close and consolidate elementary schools.  It is just a matter of time before the decrease in the curve will reach the higher levels.  Knowing how educators are always looking at tenure and lifetime positions this whole thing will be a shock once it comes to our education systems

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